Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.690735 2.025227 2.401304 2.854370 3.384248 3.983168 4.710196
2026-02-01 1.149700 1.553398 2.057647 2.729456 3.596162 4.671231 6.099635
2026-02-08 0.867415 1.295160 1.877640 2.719358 3.893154 5.458662 7.688306
2026-02-15 0.685432 1.115891 1.747114 2.724128 4.177919 6.236050 9.337616
2026-02-22 0.547448 0.963766 1.616156 2.689297 4.379416 6.898895 10.884017
2026-03-01 0.425282 0.806644 1.442965 2.550962 4.390060 7.264328 12.014869
2026-03-08 0.350207 0.710917 1.347907 2.515006 4.544450 7.850597 13.528210
2026-03-15 0.294310 0.636845 1.274636 2.499570 4.722389 8.482845 15.167890
2026-03-22 0.269613 0.616811 1.293634 2.647215 5.194407 9.643467 17.786144
2026-03-29 0.240383 0.581196 1.276325 2.722707 5.542411 10.621725 20.181366
2026-04-05 0.219199 0.558141 1.279202 2.835512 5.969531 11.776181 22.985580
2026-04-12 0.190799 0.512782 1.228339 2.832106 6.170579 12.535541 25.142234
2026-04-19 0.158405 0.451610 1.134861 2.729742 6.169692 12.930838 26.691215
2026-04-26 0.131337 0.397266 1.046917 2.625500 6.150939 13.288810 28.203990
2026-05-03 0.114594 0.365860 1.006539 2.620618 6.339316 14.069719 30.604282
2026-05-10 0.100861 0.339392 0.973302 2.626743 6.551018 14.915651 33.205704
2026-05-17 0.087257 0.309845 0.926816 2.593516 6.669058 15.576181 35.484436
2026-05-24 0.071639 0.269889 0.845255 2.459834 6.536948 15.689718 36.631764
2026-05-31 0.062078 0.246666 0.804865 2.425096 6.634268 16.308648 38.902124
2026-06-07 0.054495 0.227994 0.773827 2.410177 6.777470 17.041403 41.478857
2026-06-14 0.052409 0.228300 0.798951 2.553010 7.332744 18.759581 46.370246
2026-06-21 0.048513 0.220898 0.799284 2.626049 7.717006 20.114002 50.547484
2026-06-28 0.045826 0.217451 0.811481 2.735199 8.208001 21.760989 55.516567